The value of money is a perception. Do you see something you like and buy it, often judging the affordable price even if you have not done a comparison. Example. Go through the town to buy an item that costs 30 €. The salesman tells you that if you go back tomorrow it will cost 15. You return. Then cross the city again to buy a computer that costs a thousand euro. The seller tells you that if you come back tomorrow it will cost you only 985. Take it away. Yet they are always saved € 15.
And then we go on like this, let the evil
€ 100 bet on heads or tails. Please? Why not, after all you may lose only 100 €!
Probability: 1 out of two (half)
We go to the casino. Are you willing to put 100 euro on a single flight number, now, without thinking twice?
Probability: 1 out of thirty-three (1 / 33)
you remember the old football pools? The one with the 13 games a few years ago. Someone above reasons, someone put the signs at random, 3 marks for 13 results. Have you ever played a fate of 100 €? More or less corresponded to 5 doubles and a triple, ie a board with 96 possible combinations.
odds: 96 out of nearly one million six hundred thousand (1/16.607)
The next Italian astronaut on the shuttle that will be going to throw a pebble on Italy orbit. € 100 wager that the stone will fall within one square kilometer from your home?
Probability: 1 out of about three hundred thousand (1/301.338)
you buy a ticket lottery, one for 100 €?
odds: about one in 18 million and a half (1/18.536.180 tickets sold in 2008)
Let us go back to the casino. Point 20 on the € 17, black, odd. Five times in a row (total, if I lose, € 100). But I want to win all five times! I worked the 100 €?
Probability: 1 out of almost 40 million (1/39.135.393)
In Italy there are about 1.3 phones per capita (Eurostat, 2008). Dial a number at random from among those existing bet 100 euro that I can call you own.
Probability: 1 out of about 78 million (1/78.000.000)
write in case the license plate of a car, considering all those circulating in the world. In fact, I write about two. € 100 bet that between the first and second attempt, the license plate of your guesses?
Odds: 2 to about 900 million (1/450.000.000)
Great European lottery: a name is taken among all the inhabitants. Place 100 € on me? If they are removed we will make them.
Probability: 1 out of nearly 500 million (1/495.000.000)
Okay, I understand, you do not like risk, even when you have a good chance (as in the coin toss), the less what the odds are ridiculous. No problem, € 100 is € 100. So, we go to a coffee bar that I offer. By the way, I would say to take a board of Superenalotto, one of those small, 2 €. In one year, with 3 drawings a week, at the end are about 300 € for a six-hit ... But you are not people who like to take risks, never mind. Or not?
Probability: 1 out of over six hundred million (1/622.614.630, without considering the bonus number)
Once those selling false hope was a con man, is now a private company (privatized), and the State that is one part of campaigns for social utility "Play responsibly" on the other we gain a significant slice on a game that includes a dozen drawings a day (Win4Life). And since you do not understand the numbers, buy false hope that three times a week. Even with a coupon of 1 euro, they are more than 150 euro per year. Most of you spend more. And if the jackpot rises, increasing the bets, as if a higher prize money significantly more likely to win.
Bullshit.
Lesson number five of the manual: every now and then is good to put things in perspective, and feel stupid. Now take the 100 € and taken to a pizzeria your four closest friends. It is money spent bene, anzi spesi meglio .
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